I've had a Google News Alert
established for months now on "real estate bubble."
It's amazing how many local newspapers keep reporting about
the bubble – somewhere else. Not in Florida, Texas, North
Carolina., etc., but somewhere else – those poor people.
Then today's search results
brought in these headlines:
"Proof that the real estate
bubble hasn't burst"
"A challenge to real estate
bubble reports"
"The real-estate bubble
media coverage bubble"
"Bye-bye bubble"
"Self-correction of real
estate bubble"
In reading the articles they
all seem to be saying, "Um … wait a minute, we may
have overreacted to the bubble stories and now it's not a story."
Through deeper reading, you'll
find industry watchers and insiders have come out with the big
guns in the area of statistical analysis. Without statistics,
business people don't move forward and these stats have been
showing that in many places across the country, there are some
very strong markets taking a breather, but by no means has any
bubble popped.
The National Association of
Realtors is even predicting a record year for 2006. Now, you
might say, "Well, of course they're saying that to quell
the fears that people's home values are in jeopardy." Maybe
yes, maybe no. The problem for all the bubble prognosticators,
however, is that markets across the country are still strong.
Rarely do you find a market absolutely diving and people heading
for the hills. The "softening" is more like a return
to a normal market, not a bursting of a market.
In light of the fact that the
Washington, D.C. region has the strongest economy and job growth
in the country, I was surprised at the latest breather in the
market. However, in looking over our own real estate stats,
I've discovered that investors should be raising rents right
now if they want to take advantage of a run on the rentals the
last four months.
Investors inside any hot market
need to look over the stats just as much as those who are selling.
They must keep up with the real estate values so they know when
to sell and move money to other investments. And they especially
need to watch average rents as they don't want to get left behind
in the growth of their monthly cashflow.
What's happening here is probably
doing the same in other markets where sales are either headed
downward or taking a breather -- rental inventory is being eaten
up, rents are on the rise and days on the market have been slashed.
At least for the last few months, it's turning in favor of the
landlords.
According to the rental stats
from the region's MLS, Metropolitan Regional Information Systems,
Inc., in the District of Columbia, the average days on the market
for rentals has dropped below three weeks. The average days
on market last year at this time was more than 10 weeks. In
addition, the average unit rented last month is bringing in
$840 more annual income than the average unit rented a year
before. Wealth-building is on the march.
In neighboring jurisdictions
around D.C., the same is happening -- Montgomery County, Md.,
days on market dropped less than half to 30 days. Fairfax County,
Virginia's days on market has dropped to just 23 from 59 in
a November to November comparison from this year to last. Meanwhile,
the average unit annual income is up by more than $1,000 compared
to a year ago in Fairfax. Montgomery County investors are bringing
in nearly $100 more per month last month than they were able
to fetch a year before -- that's $1,200 per year increase in
revenue.
I've always been a 'buy 'em
and hold 'em" kind of investor. And other investors who
have done the same are now smiling. The wise wealth building
goes something like this -- buy low, hold and rent out (for
years), sell and roll money to a larger property. This is what
we refer to in the business as a commonsense approach to building
wealth. Yes, those investors who purchased when there wasn't
a frenzy are now smiling -- all the way to the bank.